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TOP TEN REASON STATISTICAL ANALYSIS LEADS TO NOWHERE
- Analyst team does not understand the fundamental
driver
- Need to understand the industry before being able
to decipher the data
- What sets the price? What drive demand and
supply? Etc.
- Key stakeholders have not fully grasped the meaning
of the analysis
- Typically the failure of the analyst to
teach/explain in industry terminology
- All analysis should be able to be explain back to
the fundamentals of the industry
- Too many correlations lead to useless equations
- The more relations the more to forecast therefore
the more uncertainty
- Correlation does not mean causation
- Using results with no thought
- “the model told me so” – no the model only
indicates and you must validate results with fundamental reasoning
- The past attitudes become significant hurdles
- “We got by without statistical analysis”
- “Its just not the way things were done”
- Poor access to information
- Disparate systems holding various data
- Dissemination of analysis not given to key
stakeholders usually because analyst feel intimidated to present results
- Key stakeholders focused on short term results
- Analysis based on historical data typically over a
long time period so don’t expect to get a result in a hour or a day
- Predicting shorter term period defies the meaning
of fundamental
- Corrupted data
- Not enough data
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